Study forecasts up to $1 trillion in US B2C retail and $3–5 trillion globally redirected through agentic commerce by 2030, comparing the shift to the mobile era.
McKinsey & Company— A weekly publication —
Visa published its Trusted Agent Protocol (TAP) this week 1, a credential and authorisation standard for agents operating within the Visa network. TAP defines token formats, delegation scopes, and revocation mechanisms for agent-initiated transactions. Walmart simultaneously opened a ChatGPT-powered checkout feature to US customers 2, the second major retail platform to deploy an agent-initiated purchase flow following ACP Instant Checkout.
McKinsey & Company released a study on agentic commerce adoption 3 documenting conversion rate differentials between agent-assisted and standard purchase flows across a sample of retail deployments. The study covers category-level data on which product types see the largest impact from agent-assisted discovery and checkout.
Visa TAP is the third network-layer protocol published in five weeks, following Google’s AP2 4 and Mastercard’s Agent Pay APIs 5. Walmart’s deployment runs on the ChatGPT platform, which also hosts ACP Instant Checkout 6; the two features target different entry points — Walmart’s is retailer-initiated via its own product integration, ACP spans any participating merchant.
Three lanes were active in the same week for the first time in the tracking period: Payments (Visa TAP), Pilots (Walmart checkout), and AEO (McKinsey study). The simultaneous activity across protocol publication, live retail deployment, and independent research marks a shift from infrastructure-only weeks.
Study forecasts up to $1 trillion in US B2C retail and $3–5 trillion globally redirected through agentic commerce by 2030, comparing the shift to the mobile era.
McKinsey & CompanyOpen framework developed with Cloudflare lets merchants verify AI agents and distinguish them from malicious bots; 12 launch partners include Shopify, Stripe, Adyen, and Microsoft.
Visa NewsroomUS customers can purchase Walmart and Sam's Club products directly inside ChatGPT via Instant Checkout; Stripe powers payment processing.
Walmart Corporate